Way OT, but worth the risk -- Flu Shot Question for Crypto

topic posted Mon, October 12, 2009 - 7:03 AM by  sa
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Crypto, you often cut against the grain with your comments, and seem to have a very realistic/scientific viewpoint. What's your take on the flu shot? I've never had one and don't plan on getting one, but am not nearly as confident when it comes to making decisions regarding my two-year-old (and there's this Swine Flu thing). Upon our pediatrician's strong advice, we gave Graham a flu shot when he was 1. We're getting slightly more sleep these days than those, so are thinking more, if not more clearly.
So, in the simplest terms, we have our doctor on one side and this: articles.mercola.com/sites/a...sed.aspx
on the other. The video is clearly one-sided, but brings up some points to ponder.

I would have pm'd you with this, but thought many people could benefit from the discussion.

I thank you and anyone else who chimes in for your opinion.
posted by:
sa
offline sa
San Diego
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  • That link didn't work, either pressing it or cut and paste into the address bar after a http://www.
    I'm for vaccinations. I'm getting one for the H1N1 and have had one for the seasonal flu.

    I don't know what the bar for "practicing medicine without a license" is.
    • The regular flu shot is different from the h1n1 shot. As it works there are many strains of influenza. What they do is take 3 of the major influenza viruses and make like a cocktail. Unfortunately the strain of influenza that hit us last year (not the h1n1) was not included in the cocktail. So people who got the flu vaccine did not get the right one. Your body needs to be hit by the flu virus so that it can naturally be effective against another attack latter on.

      Those that get shots year after year can end up being in a situation where there antibodies will not be as effective because of your body being inundated with so many shots. Then there is the problem with Thimerosal or mercury as it goes by its other name being used in the flu shots.

      www.cdc.gov/FLU/ABOUT/QA/thimerosal.htm

      What does the flu shot contain?

      Thimerosal

      Aluminum

      formaldehyde

      ethylene glycol

      phenol

      Benzethonium

      Methylparaben

      You would think in small doses that some of these would be ok. But in large buildups some of these have been know to cause Alzheimers,Seizures, fatigue and mental problems Good luck I hope this helps.

      • "Those that get shots year after year can end up being in a situation where there antibodies will not be as effective because of your body being inundated with so many shots. Then there is the problem with Thimerosal or mercury as it goes by its other name being used in the flu shots."

        It is because of such statements that one should never come to a place like Tribe this seeking answers to questions of great import.
        • ""Those that get shots year after year can end up being in a situation where there antibodies will not be as effective because of your body being inundated with so many shots."



          That's not science. If you have an antibody to a virus in your system you will be protected if you come in contact with that strain of virus.

          And yes Badger... this is not the place to come for medical advice.... talk to a Doctor when it comes to your health.

          BTW... I got my shot... I've been getting them since 1988.

          In '87 I was finishing up a drawing (pre-computer) for the night, had about 15 minutes left on it but I was feeling a bit rough... I figured I'd complete it in the morning and messenger it out. Turns out I was coming down with the flu and it took me 3 hours the next day to finish it.

          A week in bed, a week to to "recover" and a week to feel like myself.

          Take it from me... get a flu shot.. in some cases it can save your life.
          • Whenever I've had a flu shot I've ended up being quite ill for a week. So I've chosen to not have them, and I'm much more concerned with a more serious issue (and vaccine) since it'd be my luck to be the one in a million (or whatever the odds are supposed to be) chance of death from the vaccine, but that's me, and not a good statistical reason to not get the vaccine. Statistics are great when they say side-effects only kill that one in a million person, but when you are that one person, it's no fun!
            • >Whenever I've had a flu shot I've ended up being quite ill for a week.<
              Which likely means that if you get the flu, your will be extremly sick. The flu shot causes your body to react as if it is infected, and the affects your are feeling are not because you are sick but your body putting its immune system through the paces of fighting of an infection. If you are getting that sick without the flu, I'd be a bit concerned how your body would react when it really has it, but that's just me.
              • sa
                sa
                offline 47
                Thanks for all the helpful advice, especially from those of you who took the extra effort to write in all caps! Unfortunately, I have to disregard those who suggest I blindly follow a doctor's opinion, because anyone who has never been the victim of a doctor's mistake or witnessed a doctor's incompetence is either abnormally lucky or possibly lives in an alternate reality. Either way, they would skew my study. I personally have experienced so many mistakes, bad calls, fumbles, misdiagnosese, and general dipshittedness at the hands of doctors that I would be a lazy cow to follow their advice without seeking alternate opinions.

                For those few of you responders who live in the real world and know how to act like grown-ups, I do appreciate your comments. My hope was to find some guidance by hearing about actual experiences and being led to viable sources of information, etc.
                • how about multiple doctors? how about not blindly?

                  why would you trust crypto? because you like her? because she's cool?

                  straight shooter that she is, she was the first to tell you to go to people educated to answer your questions.

                  just because a bunch of people enjoy the same recreational activities as you doesn't mean you can trust them for advice requiring a great deal of expertise! at the very least look up a burner with an MD!



                  "Thanks for all the helpful advice, especially from those of you who took the extra effort to write in all caps! Unfortunately, I have to disregard those who suggest I blindly follow a doctor's opinion, because anyone who has never been the victim of a doctor's mistake or witnessed a doctor's incompetence is either abnormally lucky or possibly lives in an alternate reality."
                  • This is the maximum depth. Additional responses will not be threaded.
                    sa
                    sa
                    offline 47
                    automatthew,
                    Amid your criticism, you have some good suggestions, diffuting some of your own criticisms. You, like some other negative posters, seem to be intelligent enough to understand where I'm coming from (and where I'm not).
                    I'll try to explain this again: I don't expect to find someone who will tell me what to do. What I expect to find are (some) intelligent people with strong opinions who aren't shy about sharing them (which is why, btw, I've turned to this group with my query, not because we all "enjoy the same recreational activities," because we don't. Burners are very diverse, but many do share the qualities I mention above.

                    BTW, you answered your own question of why I would trust crypto.
                    • >What I expect to find are (some) intelligent people with strong opinions who aren't shy about sharing them<

                      Which is a horrible substitute for good medical advice. Be real with yourself and your biasis. I could be assuming too much but as you have broken your back, have varied employment history, totalled two vehicles, and surf, I would lean to the side of statistics and say you like to or at least open to taking high risks. Don't let your bias direct your bias or strong opinions weigh too heavy, use facts for the decision.
                      As to the facts in the out of context quoting of the Cochrane information below the data you need to know is.
                      For children older than 2 vacines made with a weakened virus has an effiacy of 82% where those made with the dead virus are around 59% (so get the one up the nose, not the shot). Neither offers much protection against a virus it is not designed for, around 50% if the match is not good and only around 32-36% for other virusus (which is about the same as a placebo). Currently there is not enough information to reach good conclusion for children under 2 which is why some folks question it (and a valid question it is, hopefully this round will give us good information). So, that stats say older than 2, it protects.. under, not enough data to say it does but folks are operating under the assumption that it is likely to follow a similar pattern as the older child.

                      As for mercury in it... yes, but it's not the same mercury as say that found in fish. I'd be more concern about the amount of fish the mother ate when the child was developing in the womb than the shot. 10 years from now, folks are going to be amazed at the damage done because of coal plants in China.
      • >Those that get shots year after year can end up being in a situation where there antibodies will not be as effective because of your body being inundated with so many shots.<

        And this statement is backed by what?, your own belief, unless you source a study that shows this. The belief more prevelant belief is that your immune system beomes stronger the more it is used.
  • If I may...please realize that the flu kills. 20+ american kids died last *week* due to H1N1. Of course, everything has a risk, but your (and your child's) odds are better with getting the vaccination than not.

    There is a lot of anti-vaccine discussion going on, especially among new parents (and I am included in that demographic). It is not based on any scientific evidence. Plain and simple. It is based on a religious hysteria not that different from the extremist babbling one might hear on the Fox "News" Network. It is not reality-based. Modern thinking requires that we leave superstition behind.

    Vaccines save lives...millions of them. To ignore that very real and verifiable fact is to live in a ignorant and fear-based world, ungoverned by critical thought.

    Also, please remember, you can find information stating anything on the internet...much of it completely erroneous. You will have to look to the sources of that information and ascertain the motives behind the presenter. I tend to place credence on those professionals trying to improve public health and alleviate suffering, as opposed to those people with anecdotal "evidence" and an axe to grind.

    Let the flames begin...
  • good lord. i cant believe you are asking for advice on a message board about something as important as a flu shot. do us all a favor, dont get the flu shot or the H1N1 vaccine. that why if you get either one and die, we can all say you were another "Darwin Award" recipient.
    • "good lord. i cant believe you are asking for advice on a message board about something as important as a flu shot. do us all a favor, dont get the flu shot or the H1N1 vaccine."

      Better yet, please consider not having another fucking child until you're ready to take car of your current one by GOING TO A FUCKING DOCTOR AND GETTING APPROPRIATE INFORMATION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      You lazy cow.
      • Better yet, please consider not having another fucking child until you're ready to take car of your current one by GOING TO A FUCKING DOCTOR AND GETTING APPROPRIATE INFORMATION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

        You lazy cow.

        How kind of you to throw your 2 cents in now kindly take it back..

        Doctors don't know everything..and discussing the flu vaccine can not be done in your allotted 5 minutes with the doctor that will be 900. bucks pay on your way out..
        • "Doctors don't know everything..."

          Everybody should watch this Dara O'Briain video: www.youtube.com/watch

          The key line here: "Science knows that it doesn't know everything. Otherwise it would stop. But just because science doesn't know everything that doesn't mean you can go ahead and fill in the gaps with whatever fairy tale appeals to you."

          Vaccines have their risks. Sometimes people die of them. The diseases they prevent have even more risks and even more people die of them. Everything is a gamble. Hell, you could get hit by a bus on the way to the doctor's to get the vaccine. However, with this particular gamble, the odds are on the side of the vaccine.
  • www.khou.com/news/local/...e07c456.html

    "the odds of catching swine flu are about one in 29,000 and the odds of dying from it are one in 736,000"

    Given the odds, I'd rather not put some recently invented vaccine, about which we know absolutely nothing of the long-term side-effects, into my body. To me, that sounds like a much greater risk than the odds of contracting and dying from swine flu.

    And this is true for most vaccinations, such as the much touted Gardasil (the HPV vaccine for women), which has been shown to be responsible for several fatalities already.
    • >Given the odds, I'd rather not put some recently invented vaccine about which we know absolutely nothing of the long-term side-effects, into my body.<

      What odds are you referring to? Keep in mind the flu vaccine is 'invented' every year. Each year the flu vaccine contains about three of last year's viruses. This year's flu vaccine does not contain the N1H1 virus so it is being created as a seperate vaccine. The process to make it is the same as the flu vaccine. So we have plenty of data about the long term affects, as well as the death rates for flu. So the odds of dying from the flu (for a otherwise healthy individual) appear to be less than dying at Burning Man, so if you are going to play the odds...
      Also, the flu shot is not just to protect you, it's to protect everyone The concpet is called protecting the herd, you need to innoculate enough people to stop the spreading of it so it does not kill others.
      • People are just so sheltered. They didn't have to go through the 1918-19 pandemic. They tremble at the thought of polio. They never saw their neighborhood decimated by small pox.

        You know, in a hundred years our descendants won't know beans about women with flat chests. Yup. implants will have taken care of that. All women will be d-cups. I pity them.
      • The odds I'm referring to are the ones I posted.

        The odds of a side effect from a vaccine are much higher than the odds of getting the virus in the first place. The odds of dying from the virus are even more remote. I prefer the odds of not taking the vaccine. Mathematically speaking, they are in my favor if I DO NOT take it. That's just pure math. I see no reasonable argument for going against the math.

        Smallpox, were it still active...I would get vaccinated for.

        Flu? Fuck no.

        HPV? Double fuck no.

        I just do the math, and the math says getting vaccinated for some things is more risky to one's health than NOT getting vaccinated. I'll take my chances with flu and HPV. I'll probably die of something unrelated, like a car crash, heart attack, or natural causes.
        • sa
          sa
          offline 47
          Amazing how different sources have different stats. You are basing your math on an article that said there had been 12 deaths in Mexico. I ran across this article that is dated a month before the one you quote:

          <<The death toll from suspected swine flu cases in Mexico, the country at the center of the outbreak spreading into the USA and around the world, surpassed 150, World Health Organization spokesman Gregory Hartl told reporters on Tuesday in Geneva.>>

          You may want to do the math again.

          Your article:
          <<The Mexican government has confirmed 300 cases, but only 12 fatalities. Combine that with the population of Mexico City, and the odds of catching swine flu are about one in 29,000 and the odds of dying from it are one in 736,000.>>

          Math based on 150 deaths as opposed to 12:
          8,836,045 (pop. of Mexico City) divided by 150 = 58,906
          All of a sudden the odds of DYING from it are one in 58,906, while the odds of contracting Guillain-Barre, for example are lower:

          <<But the vaccine concern stems from 1976, when 500 cases were reported among the 45 million people vaccinated against that year's swine flu. Scientists never could prove if the vaccine really caused the extra risk. The CDC maintains that if the regular winter flu vaccine is related, the risk is no more than a single case per million vaccinated.>>

          45,000,000 divided by 500 = 90,000.
          So worst case is one in 90,000 and you probably won't even die from this.

          And more fun with math:
          <<Mayo's Poland cites a study in Chicago that found the rate of preschoolers being hospitalized for the new H1N1 flu last spring was 2 1/2 times higher than that possible Guillain-Barre risk.>> And that was last spring. Things are much worse now.

          You're right, it's simple. Just make sure you start out with correct information.

          www.cbsnews.com/stories/20...46050.shtml
        • >The odds I'm referring to are the ones I posted.
          The odds of a side effect from a vaccine are much higher than the odds of getting the virus in the first place.<

          Yes, I saw the odds you posted, none included the odds of getting a side effect nor described what type of side effect you are referring to.
          And again, I believe the larger issue is the health of everyone. More folks that get vacinated will reduce the odds of infection. for others that are vunerable to the flu.
        • "I just do the math, and the math says getting vaccinated for some things is more risky to one's health than NOT getting vaccinated."

          The math also indicates that in any population there's a usually a relatively high statistical probability that there will always be people who don't know what the fuck they're talking.

          The above statement is a perfectly delicious example of that. Evan, I dare the to show me and others citations to valid epidemiological studies indicating that what you just wrote has any basis in reality.
          • Tantra--contrary to what tight-assed proscriptive grammarians may say, you may end a sentance with a preposition.
            • sa
              sa
              offline 47
              I'm curious about the pro-vacciners' reaction to the Atlantic article above. Seems to make some good points, but really just raises more questions.
              • >I'm curious about the pro-vacciners' reaction to the Atlantic article above<

                I skimmed it and I will definately read it more in depth because as you say, it brings up goods points for consideration. The way that the lines are numbers are generated for the higher rate of death for those not getting a vaccination certainly caught my attention. I agree that it's pretty shaky to try and relate that all to the flu.
                I still think it does come down to more than one thing though. Helping not be a transimitter of the flu to others is one. Even if I don't die from the flu I sitll like to minimize the number of days I am sick. I also like to have my immune system exercised so getting the shot does that as well as build up immunity for that virus for life. Also, getting a shot is just part of my overall health regiem, and I believe if you have one chances are you will live longer. And, the article seems to support that suggesting maybe those that get the shot are healthier to begin with, and I believe it's healthier because we do the things to make it so.
                For me, I don't see any great risks in getting vaccinated.
    • "Given the odds, I'd rather not put some recently invented vaccine ..."

      It was invented decades ago. They customize it slightly each year for the latest strains of flu, but this is hardly new technology.
      • From today's NY Times.

        Web sites, Twitter feeds, talk radio and even elevator chatter are awash with skeptics criticizing the vaccine, largely with no factual or scientific basis.

        The most common complaint is that the vaccine has been newly formed and quickly distributed without the benefit of clinical trials; in fact, the swine flu vaccine was made using the same techniques as seasonal flu shots over the last two decades, and a small number of clinical trials were conducted this year to determine the adequate dose.

        There are also claims that the vaccine contains adjuvants — sometimes added to make vaccines more effective — although they have not been used in this one.

        In addition, there is fear that the vaccine could lead to Guillain-Barré syndrome, as was suspected the last time a swine flu vaccine was distributed, in 1976; flu vaccines are now much purer than they were, minimizing the risk, and Guillain-Barré is far rarer.

        In measuring the risk of the vaccine, there is general consensus among doctors that serious adverse reactions are rare and that pregnant women and young people, in particular, are better off with the vaccine than without it.

        While most people who get H1N1 experience mild symptoms, a recent New England Journal of Medicine study showed that among Americans hospitalized with swine flu last spring, one in four ended up in intensive care and 7 percent of them died.

        The illness, unlike other flu strains, has been particularly tough on children and young adults and appears to have a disproportionately high fatality rate in pregnant women.

        Health care officials are concerned that some groups, especially pregnant women, are potentially swayed by the large-scale efforts of vaccine opponents.

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